Manchester City vs. Everton, Sunday 21 November 16:00
Manchester City vs. Everton, Sunday 21 November 16:00

Manchester City vs. Everton, Sunday 21 November 16:00

After a disappointing 2-0 loss at home to Crystal Palace at the end of last month, the Sky Blues managed to bounce back with a 2-0 win in the Manchester Derby before the start of the international break. They now sit in second place on the table with 23 points and have a record comprising of 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. City have the second best defense in the league and have only let in six goals so far this season, but much like Liverpool there defense have been starting to show cracks recently. Five of these six goals came in their last five matches, but the Citizens managed to not make a habit of conceding regularly by picking up a clean sheet against Manchester United. It’s important for Pep’s men to keep the clean sheets coming in order for them to stay ahead of West Ham on the table and to give themselves a chance of passing Chelsea to take top spot. Their defense is unlikely to be under much threat on Sunday against an Everton side that is in horrific form right now and it should be a straight forward three points at the Etihad for the men from Manchester. 

The Toffees did a good job of forcing a draw against Spurs in their last match before the international break but Benitez’s men would of much rather preferred a win and three points. Everton are now winless in their last five EPL matches and very disappointingly find themselves in the bottom half of the table in 11th place. Defense was a big problem for Everton going into their last clash so not conceding against Spurs was a definitive positive, but after finding the net in four out of their five matches leading up to the match I really expected them to keep the trend going but disappointingly failed to do so. It looks to me like they have managed to sort out their defense which was in shambles, only for problems to now shift to their attack. Sunday will be a real test for the men from Merseyside and if their defense can hold up against a team like Manchester City then it will be a clear sign that there has been an improvement in that department. As for their attack, their scoreless performance against Spurs last week doesn’t really help their cause for Saturday’s match and I believe they will have a difficult time cracking the second best defense in the league especially away from home. 

Manchester City have completely dominated the last five matches between the two teams in the EPL and won all of them. The last time Everton managed to pick up a win against Manchester City in the EPL was in 2017, while their last win at the Etihad was just under 11 years ago. The last meeting between the two teams was at the Etihad in May where the Citizens won 5-0 with Phil Foden and Kevin de Bruyne both finding the net. Interestingly, Everton have managed to score in four out of their last five outings to the Etihad. However, with Manchester City’s current defensive form and Everton’s problems on attack I think it’s unlikely that they will be making it five out of six.

Prediction

After their goalless draw with Spurs I am not very confident about Everton having any chance in this match. Had they found the net in that match I may have looked for value in this match by backing them to score a goal especially with their record of scoring at the Etihad, but after that performance I am not confident that they can crack a defense like Manchester City’s. It’s not easy to find a good bet when one team is expected to dominate over another as is the case here, but the most appealing bet for me over even money looks to be Manchester City to win by 2-3 goals. You can also get around 2.70 for only one team to score and over 2.5 goals in the match which I believe has a great chance of landing, while the only other bet that catches my eye is backing Phil Foden to score the first goal at around 4.80 since he is in fine form at the moment and finding the net on a regular basis.

BetOlimp Best Bets

Both teams to score and total: no and total 2.5 over – 2.70
Winning Margin: Manchester City by 2-3 goals: yes – 2.21
First Goalscorer: Phil Foden – 4.80

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